Hazard Outlook ... Broad high pressure will persist over the southeast through the rest of the week, limiting daily shower and thunderstorm activity and keeping temperatures well above normal. The ridge of high pressure will strengthen over the weekend, resulting in near-record high temperatures each day.

Tropical Formation Probability


Developed by the Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch at CIRA


Cumulative 0-48h TC Formation Probability

Cumulative 0-48h TC Formation Probability

0-24h TCFP(%) TC Formation Probability

0-24h TCFP(%) TC Formation Probability

24-48h TCFP(%) TC Formation Probability

24-48h TCFP(%) TC Formation Probability



Experimental tropical cyclone genesis probabilities


Experimental Tropical Cyclone Genesis Probability 0-48hr

0-48h TCFP(%) TC Formation Probability

Experimental Tropical Cyclone Genesis Probability 0-120hr

0-120h TCFP(%) TC Formation Probability