Hazard Outlook ... Broad high pressure will persist over the southeast through the rest of the week, limiting daily shower and thunderstorm activity and keeping temperatures well above normal. The ridge of high pressure will strengthen over the weekend, resulting in near-record high temperatures each day.

WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Updated: 05-16-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1
± 2.5° F High Low High Low
Date NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS
05-16-19 82       82 59       60 87       84 64       62
05-06-19 79 9.4 69.6 11.4 81 58 -13.9 71.9 -17.9 54 82       82 61       55
05-08-18 81 8.3 72.7 10.3 83 58 -13.9 71.9 -13.9 58 84 14.4 69.6 14.4 84 61 -10.9 71.9 -11.9 60
05-07-18 81 -2.5 83.5 -2.5 81 57 -0.9 57.9 -1.9 56 80 7.3 72.7 9.3 82 59 -12.9 71.9 -14.9 57
05-06-18 78 -0.4 78.4 -0.4 78 57 -2.5 59.5 -5.5 54 80 -3.5 83.5 -3.5 80 57 -0.9 57.9 -5.9 52
05-05-18 81 1.8 79.2 2.8 82 56 -4.7 60.7 -1.7 59 78 -0.4 78.4 -0.4 78 57 -2.5 59.5 -4.5 55
05-04-18 85 2.2 82.8 0.2 83 62 -0.1 62.1 0.9 63 81 1.8 79.2 5.8 85 59 -1.7 60.7 -0.7 60
05-03-18 59 -25.9 84.9 -2.9 82 85 29.9 55.1 4.9 60 59 -23.8 82.8 3.2 86 85 22.9 62.1 -1.1 61
05-02-18 84 -0.9 84.9 -4.9 80 58 2.5 55.5 0.5 56 85 0.1 84.9 0.1 85 61 5.9 55.1 2.9 58
05-01-18 81 -1.1 82.1 -5.1 77 56 2.1 53.9 0.1 54 84 -0.9 84.9 -1.9 83 58 2.5 55.5 -0.5 55
04-30-18 75 -2.6 77.6 -6.6 71 50 3.5 46.5 -0.5 46 80 -2.1 82.1 -6.1 76 56 2.1 53.9 -1.9 52
04-29-18 69 -1.9 70.9 -0.9 70 44 0.7 43.3 -1.3 42 73 -4.6 77.6 -5.6 72 51 4.5 46.5 -1.5 45
04-28-18 74 -3.3 77.3 -6.3 71 45 -2.2 47.2 -2.2 45 68 -2.9 70.9 -1.9 69 44 0.7 43.3 -1.3 42
04-27-18 71 -1.2 72.2 -5.2 67 50 0.1 49.9 -5.9 44 74 -3.3 77.3 -7.3 70 45 -2.2 47.2 -4.2 43
04-26-18 65 5.9 59.1 -4.1 55 50 -0.1 50.1 -1.1 49 71 -1.2 72.2 -2.2 70 49 -0.9 49.9 -0.9 49
04-25-18 68 0.4 67.6 2.4 70 53 4.6 48.4 -0.4 48 65 5.9 59.1 1.9 61 50 -0.1 50.1 -0.1 50
04-24-18 68 0.1 67.9 -2.9 65 53 0.2 52.8 -4.8 48 69 1.4 67.6 1.4 69 52 3.6 48.4 -0.4 48
04-23-18 66 3.7 62.3 -0.3 62 54 -3.9 57.9 -4.9 53 68 0.1 67.9 1.1 69 53 0.2 52.8 -0.8 52
04-22-18 62 1.7 60.3 -2.3 58 54 -2.5 56.5 -1.5 55 67 4.7 62.3 10.7 73 54 -3.9 57.9 -4.9 53
04-21-18 71 -1.7 72.7 -5.7 67 52 -5.9 57.9 -9.9 48 63 2.7 60.3 -6.3 54 52 -4.5 56.5 -7.5 49
04-20-18 68 0.1 67.9 -6.9 61 46 4.7 41.3 -5.3 36 71 -1.7 72.7 -6.7 66 51 -6.9 57.9 -11.9 46
04-19-18 63 -5.2 68.2 1.8 70 40 3.2 36.8 6.2 43 69 1.1 67.9 0.1 68 44 2.7 41.3 -1.3 40
04-18-18 81 -3.4 84.4 -9.4 75 51 -10.1 61.1 -11.1 50 62 -6.2 68.2 -4.2 64 40 3.2 36.8 0.2 37
04-17-18 70 -4.9 74.9 -11.9 63 52 3.1 48.9 -3.9 45 80 -4.4 84.4 -6.4 78 53 -8.1 61.1 -3.1 58
04-16-18 53 3.4 49.6 2.4 52 38 5.8 32.2 -0.2 32 70 -4.9 74.9 -12.9 62 52 3.1 48.9 -5.9 43
04-15-18 64 -8.7 72.7 -11.7 61 39 1.3 37.7 2.3 40 54 4.4 49.6 1.4 51 39 6.8 32.2 -2.2 30
04-14-18 81 0.7 80.3 1.7 82 60 -1.2 61.2 5.8 67 63 -9.7 72.7 -1.7 71 41 3.3 37.7 7.3 45
04-13-18 78 -1.4 79.4 -1.4 78 59 -2.1 61.1 0.9 62 79 -1.3 80.3 -0.3 80 60 -1.2 61.2 3.8 65
04-12-18 76 -2.8 78.8 -4.8 74 51 2.3 48.7 3.3 52 78 -1.4 79.4 0.6 80 60 -1.1 61.1 0.9 62
04-11-18 70 0.6 69.4 -31.4 38 44 0.2 43.8 23.2 67 75 -3.8 78.8 -38.8 40 52 3.3 48.7 26.3 75
04-10-18 65 18.4 46.6 19.4 66 40 -29.5 69.5 -32.5 37 69 -0.4 69.4 -2.4 67 45 1.2 43.8 -2.8 41
Results NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS
# Succ 16     11 16     14 13     14 13     14
% Succ 53.3       36.7 53.3       46.7 44.8       48.3 44.8       48.3



Updated: 05-16-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1
± 2.5° F High Low High Low
Date NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS
05-16-19 82       82 59       60 87       84 64       62
05-07-18 82 12.4 69.6 -15.6 54 56 -15.9 71.9 10.1 82 80       55 58       83
05-06-18 78 -0.4 78.4 -26.4 52 57 -1.7 58.7 20.3 79 80 10.4 69.6 -18.6 51 56 -15.9 71.9 9.1 81
05-05-18 81 1.8 79.2 -22.2 57 57 -3.7 60.7 16.3 77 78 -0.4 78.4 -23.4 55 56 -2.7 58.7 21.3 80
05-04-18 62 -20.8 82.8 -24.8 58 81 19.0 62.0 21.0 83 59 -20.2 79.2 -21.2 58 80 19.3 60.7 19.3 80
05-03-18 85 0.1 84.9 -29.9 55 59 4.0 55.0 29.0 84 84 1.2 82.8 -23.8 59 63 1.0 62.0 20.0 82
05-02-18 84 -0.9 84.9 -29.9 55 59 3.5 55.5 27.5 83 85 0.1 84.9 -28.9 56 59 4.0 55.0 30.0 85
05-01-18 58 -24.1 82.1 -29.1 53 84 30.1 53.9 28.1 82 58 -26.9 84.9 -29.9 55 85 29.5 55.5 28.5 84
04-30-18 50 -27.6 77.6 -29.6 48 81 34.5 46.5 31.5 78 56 -26.1 82.1 -28.1 54 82 28.1 53.9 28.1 82
04-29-18 44 -26.9 70.9 -29.9 41 74 30.7 43.3 29.7 73 49 -28.6 77.6 -32.6 45 79 32.5 46.5 31.5 78
04-28-18 77 -0.3 77.3 -30.3 47 45 -1.8 46.8 23.2 70 68 -2.9 70.9 -26.9 44 44 0.7 43.3 30.7 74
04-27-18 49 -23.2 72.2 -28.2 44 74 24.2 49.8 20.2 70 46 -31.3 77.3 -33.3 44 67 20.2 46.8 21.2 68
04-26-18 51 -8.1 59.1 -9.1 50 70 20.1 49.9 20.1 70 49 -23.2 72.2 -24.2 48 73 23.2 49.8 21.2 71
04-25-18 68 0.4 67.6 -21.6 46 53 4.7 48.3 13.7 62 65 5.9 59.1 -8.1 51 51 1.1 49.9 16.1 66
04-24-18 53 -14.9 67.9 -11.9 56 69 16.2 52.8 19.2 72 52 -15.6 67.6 -14.6 53 66 17.7 48.3 18.7 67
04-23-18 54 -8.3 62.3 -7.3 55 69 11.1 57.9 11.1 69 53 -14.9 67.9 -15.9 52 70 17.2 52.8 13.2 66
04-22-18 62 1.7 60.3 -7.3 53 56 -0.5 56.5 7.5 64 68 5.7 62.3 -7.3 55 55 -2.9 57.9 14.1 72
04-21-18 53 -19.7 72.7 -20.7 52 63 6.9 56.1 0.9 57 53 -7.3 60.3 -5.3 55 63 6.5 56.5 2.5 59
04-20-18 43 -24.9 67.9 -28.9 39 72 30.7 41.3 25.7 67 51 -21.7 72.7 -24.7 48 64 7.9 56.1 1.9 58
04-19-18 63 -5.2 68.2 -32.2 36 39 2.5 36.5 29.5 66 70 2.1 67.9 -28.9 39 45 3.7 41.3 24.7 66
04-18-18 53 -31.4 84.4 -29.4 55 61 1.8 59.2 6.8 66 40 -28.2 68.2 -27.2 41 68 31.5 36.5 30.5 67
04-17-18 70 -4.9 74.9 -27.9 47 51 2.9 48.1 28.9 77 80 -4.4 84.4 -31.4 53 50 -9.2 59.2 4.8 64
04-16-18 52 2.4 49.6 -15.6 34 37 4.9 32.1 32.9 65 69 -5.9 74.9 -29.9 45 52 3.9 48.1 28.9 77
04-15-18 66 -6.7 72.7 -27.7 45 40 2.3 37.7 18.3 56 53 3.4 49.6 -9.6 40 41 8.9 32.1 35.9 68
04-14-18 81 0.7 80.3 -17.3 63 61 0.6 60.4 5.6 66 65 -7.7 72.7 -33.7 39 37 -0.7 37.7 13.3 51
04-13-18 78 -1.4 79.4 -20.4 59 61 0.5 60.5 10.5 71 81 0.7 80.3 -17.3 63 64 3.6 60.4 3.6 64
04-12-18 52 -26.8 78.8 -29.8 49 78 29.3 48.7 28.3 77 59 -20.4 79.4 -22.4 57 78 17.5 60.5 12.5 73
04-11-18 46 -23.4 69.4 -31.4 38 75 31.3 43.7 23.3 67 52 -26.8 78.8 -38.8 40 76 27.3 48.7 26.3 75
04-10-18 65 18.4 46.6 -8.6 38 42 -27.5 69.5 -2.5 67 69 -0.4 69.4 -29.4 40 46 2.3 43.7 30.3 74
04-09-18 60 -0.5 60.5 -21.5 39 46 -2.4 48.4 14.6 63 65 18.4 46.6 -10.6 36 41 -28.5 69.5 -2.5 67
04-08-18 55 -0.8 55.8 -14.8 41 46 1.0 45.0 16.0 61 61 0.5 60.5 -21.5 39 46 -2.4 48.4 9.6 58
Results NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS NW Diff Act Diff WS
# Succ 12     0 10     2 7     0 6     3
% Succ 40.0       0.0 33.3       6.7 24.1       0.0 20.7       10.3