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Current Mesoscale Discussions
SPC - No watches are valid as of Mon Feb 6 00:11:01 UTC 2023
No watches are valid as of Mon Feb 6 00:11:01 UTC 2023.
SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Mon Feb 6 00:11:01 UTC 2023
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Feb 6 00:11:01 UTC 2023.
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather OutlookDay 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0132 PM CST Sun Feb 05 2023 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z The previous forecast remains on track, with no changes or additions made. Please see the previous outlook below for more details. ..Squitieri.. 02/05/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CST Sun Feb 05 2023/ ...Synopsis... A highly amplified mid/upper-level trough will take on a positive tilt as it moves slowly eastward across the western CONUS. Downstream of the trough, a belt of strong deep-layer west-southwesterly flow will overspread the southern Rockies and adjacent Plains, while a lee surface low deepens over the central Plains. In response, a corridor of 15-20 mph (locally higher) sustained west-southwesterly surface winds will extend from the TX Trans-Pecos/eastern NM into the TX Panhandle. Deep boundary-layer mixing coupled with downslope warming/drying through this corridor will yield 10-15 percent RH during the afternoon. Given modestly receptive fuels across the southern High Plains, elevated to spotty critical fire-weather conditions can be expected. During the evening/overnight hours, a Pacific cold front will sweep southward across the risk area, bringing a northerly wind shift and a continuation of gusty winds with modest RH recovery. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more