SPC Forecast Products

SPC - No watches are valid as of Mon Feb 6 00:11:01 UTC 2023

No watches are valid as of Mon Feb 6 00:11:01 UTC 2023.

SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Mon Feb 6 00:11:01 UTC 2023

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Feb 6 00:11:01 UTC 2023.

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
          
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0132 PM CST Sun Feb 05 2023

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

The previous forecast remains on track, with no changes or additions
made. Please see the previous outlook below for more details.

..Squitieri.. 02/05/2023

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CST Sun Feb 05 2023/

...Synopsis...
A highly amplified mid/upper-level trough will take on a positive
tilt as it moves slowly eastward across the western CONUS.
Downstream of the trough, a belt of strong deep-layer
west-southwesterly flow will overspread the southern Rockies and
adjacent Plains, while a lee surface low deepens over the central
Plains. In response, a corridor of 15-20 mph (locally higher)
sustained west-southwesterly surface winds will extend from the TX
Trans-Pecos/eastern NM into the TX Panhandle. Deep boundary-layer
mixing coupled with downslope warming/drying through this corridor
will yield 10-15 percent RH during the afternoon. Given modestly
receptive fuels across the southern High Plains, elevated to spotty
critical fire-weather conditions can be expected.

During the evening/overnight hours, a Pacific cold front will sweep
southward across the risk area, bringing a northerly wind shift and
a continuation of gusty winds with modest RH recovery.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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